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Thread: Urlacher: Veteran teams to have edge

  1. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    OK, but only in your opinion. To me those results would say that it's too close to call espcially if I take it on the basis of talent as well as our respective records. Although I thought we'd beaten them more times in the Lovie era. Did I miscalculate that? As for the Super Bowl games you really can't compare it because they were against different teams. Had the Packers played the Indy team we played they'd have gotten beat too and had we played the Steelers of 2010 in my opinion we would have beaten them too.

    You're going with an analysis that's based strictly on wins and losses and I'm not. The only valid stats you can really use is head to head and while that gives them a slight edge I still don't see that as making them a better team going into 2011. To me this season is a pick em as to which one takes the NFCN Crown.

    Some people do tend to use records over a period of time to show how good or bad a team is. I do agree though that stats do not tell the whole story, wins do not either (going back to an older discussion about with dags of titles verse wins).

    The two teams are close, but I have to give the edge to the packers as being the better team, even if only slightly. However, the better team does not always win, so that could be an argument for those who say the Bears are better than the packers (as you seem to be doing)

  • #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Benjamin View Post
    Some people do tend to use records over a period of time to show how good or bad a team is. I do agree though that stats do not tell the whole story, wins do not either (going back to an older discussion about with dags of titles verse wins).

    The two teams are close, but I have to give the edge to the packers as being the better team, even if only slightly. However, the better team does not always win, so that could be an argument for those who say the Bears are better than the packers (as you seem to be doing)
    Not better Benji but I currently see them as being equals. The problem with using records, even head to head, is that it deals with the past and not the here and now. If head to head records were the only basis for comparison we'd be better because we won more games than the Packers have over the history of our meetings but worse than the Vikings because they beaten us more times then we've beaten them.

    I'm just going by how I see us matching up with them right now. Both teams have very good defenses and while I'll give the Packers an edge on offense due to their passing game we get a considerable edge for our ST's and the Hester factor. He does quite well against them. It's just to me that stats can be deceiving as I've pointed out in several other threads. I can use financial statistics to prove or dispprove almost anything I care to because there are so many variables and it's up to the statistician to decide what to include and what to ignore. I pay some attention to them but I'd rather eyeball things at times and use that to come to a reasonable conclusion.

    I admit that others may see it differently but this is my way and I'm content with it. To me when it comes to the Bears and Packers when they're this close about all you can judge is who was better in any given game because the final score is the judge of that at least until the next contest between them.
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  • #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    Not better Benji but I currently see them as being equals. The problem with using records, even head to head, is that it deals with the past and not the here and now. If head to head records were the only basis for comparison we'd be better because we won more games than the Packers have over the history of our meetings but worse than the Vikings because they beaten us more times then we've beaten them.

    I'm just going by how I see us matching up with them right now. Both teams have very good defenses and while I'll give the Packers an edge on offense due to their passing game we get a considerable edge for our ST's and the Hester factor. He does quite well against them. It's just to me that stats can be deceiving as I've pointed out in several other threads. I can use financial statistics to prove or dispprove almost anything I care to because there are so many variables and it's up to the statistician to decide what to include and what to ignore. I pay some attention to them but I'd rather eyeball things at times and use that to come to a reasonable conclusion.

    I admit that others may see it differently but this is my way and I'm content with it. To me when it comes to the Bears and Packers when they're this close about all you can judge is who was better in any given game because the final score is the judge of that at least until the next contest between them.
    The problem with looking at the here and now is, you are using guess work. We do not know what the future hold or how well either team will do. I agree that you can not really use past results, as they can be misleading. But I think that you can use the previous years results when judging and comparing two teams. Just looking at the two (packers and Bears) they are very close (even when looking at expanded history of the eight year span you suggested) two games either way. That is very damn close, and may be too close to call even.

    So head to head, they went 1-1 (not counting the playoffs which records and stats don't get brought up as far as career numbers). So taking that into account the Bears and packers are basically deadlocked.

    Only reason I give the packers the edge, is because they beat us in the NFCC and won the title (even though I did say post season stats dont usually get added into career records)
    Last edited by The Benjamin; 06-20-2011 at 05:30 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by The Benjamin View Post
    The problem with looking at the here and now is, you are using guess work. We do not know what the future hold or how well either team will do. I agree that you can not really use past results, as they can be misleading. But I think that you can use the previous years results when judging and comparing two teams. Just looking at the two (packers and Bears) they are very close (even when looking at expanded history of the eight year span you suggested) two games either way. That is very damn close, and may be too close to call even.

    So head to head, they went 1-1 (not counting the playoffs which records and stats don't get brought up as far as career numbers). So taking that into account the Bears and packers are basically deadlocked.

    Only reason I give the packers the edge, is because they beat us in the NFCC and won the title (even though I did say post season stats dont usually get added into career records)
    That was my main point in declaring them equals and you have to ask yourself would they have won that NFCC game had Cutler not been injured or had Hanie played the entire second half instead of replacing Cutler with Collins. We were not at full strength offensively for half that game.
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  • #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    That was my main point in declaring them equals and you have to ask yourself would they have won that NFCC game had Cutler not been injured or had Hanie played the entire second half instead of replacing Cutler with Collins. We were not at full strength offensively for half that game.
    And we weren't at full strength offensively the entire season without Grant and over half the season without Finley. The only way teams will ever be equal is if they're playing an exact clone of themselves and there was no such thing as having bad games (see: 18 penalties in one game).

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    Seriously, Cutler didn't show any signs of getting us back into that game, even if he'd stayed healthy. GB went to a rival's house and defeated them in the Conference Championship, and then went on to win the SB. I'd love to pretend the Bears are equals, but we're still missing pieces.


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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    That was my main point in declaring them equals and you have to ask yourself would they have won that NFCC game had Cutler not been injured or had Hanie played the entire second half instead of replacing Cutler with Collins. We were not at full strength offensively for half that game.
    I would say no, because Cutler did not look good at all that game while he played

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    Quote Originally Posted by The Benjamin View Post
    Recordwise, the Packers have won more games over the past eight years Barely, but they have

    Packers 72
    Bears 70

    Head to head
    Packers beat us 10 times (not counting the NFC Championship)
    Bears beat them eight

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bears%E...ackers_rivalry

    Add in that we each have a Super Bowl appearance, but they won theirs

    They are the better team

    and if do it for 6 years, not 8( as random as your 8) its

    bears 58 wins packers only 52 wins and won series 7-5

    if do it for 5 years:

    bears 46 wins packers 48 wins and series tied 5-5

    that is about as close as you get and not one team "better" and both on same level, imo

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Gift received at 06-22-2011, 02:03 PM from soulman
    Quote Originally Posted by dabears54 View Post
    and if do it for 6 years, not 8( as random as your 8) its

    bears 58 wins packers only 52 wins and won series 7-5

    if do it for 5 years:

    bears 46 wins packers 48 wins and series tied 5-5

    that is about as close as you get and not one team "better" and both on same level, imo
    MY Random eight years? Try reading DB. Soul mentioned eight years. Not me.

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  • #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Benjamin View Post
    MY Random eight years? Try reading DB. Soul mentioned eight years. Not me.
    ok correction, point still stand- no need to get nasty or insulting benjamin

    and if do it for 6 years, not 8( as random as Soul's 8) its

    bears 58 wins packers only 52 wins and won series 7-5

    if do it for 5 years:

    bears 46 wins packers 48 wins and series tied 5-5

    that is about as close as you get and not one team "better" and both on same level, imo

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