Looking at the schedule after the Minn. win, I came to largely the same conclusions with the "gateway games" to a playoff run being the TB & Philly road games. Frankly, these are tough MUST WINS with one down, one to go. I'm hoping that the benefit of the bye, the return of some key O contributors, and Philly's underwhelming play so far this year will be enough to get the win.
That would set up a key home game vs. the Lions in the fight for 2nd in the NFC North. I agree that Detroit was far more lucky than good to get to 5-0 and we shouldn't lose to them at home in this situation.
The AFC West does indeed suck. I was glad to see that we had SD at home (thinking they were easily the best of the division) but the Chargers have continued their same patterns of recent years--consistently under-playing their talent level to finish around .500 for the season. Then you would have to think that Oakland away would be the toughest of the 4, but the Raiders lost their QB and both Boller & Palmer looked horrendous last week. Denver totally sucks and the Chiefs (playing better than I expected) are a home game. You're right, no reason why these games shouldn't be 4-0.
Seattle and Arizona are battling for the title of "worst team that isn't winless" so the Seahawks at home should be an easy win.
That leaves only the Vikings and GB away...