Thread: 2011 Bears Playoff Chances

Originally Posted by Jimmors

With the win over the Lions, and an easy AFCW schedule ahead, Bears are in prime position to make a run for a playoff spot, so i shall use this thread and update it weekly to give an overview of the bears odds, scenarios and key game each week to pay attention to. (appreciate a sticky, if possible)

Ill be using these sources:
NFL.com for official standings and game times.
CBSsports for Playoff picture
Coolstandings for Playoff odds
Yahoo for Playoff Scenario

WEEK 10

Current Odds Bears make playoffs: 83.0%

NFC Playoff Picture if season ended Today:
1.Packers
2.49ers
3.Saints
4.Giants
5.Lions
6.Bears

6.Bears @ 3.Saints
5.Lions @ 4.Giants
Lowest seed winner @ Packers
Highest seed winner @ 49ers

Week 11 Key Games:
Panthers @ Lions (Lions loss)
Buccs @ Packers (Buccs loss, if GB loses MNF, then ill change this to GB loss)
Cowboys @ Redskins (Cowboys loss)
Titans @ Falcons (Falcons loss)

The Bears have the inside track to the 5th seed WC and will have no one but themselves to blame if they somehow blow it.

The NFC divisional winners look all but set in stone already. There is maybe an outside chance that someone could overtake NYG or Saints but it's unlikely, esp. with Atlanta blowing the game to the Saints at home this weekend. So the WC race likely shapes up like this...

NFC West: No chance for any WC teams

NFC East: Wash & Philly out of contention
Dallas has outside shot

NFC South: Carolina out
Atlanta has outside shot
TB needs lots of help

NFC North: Minny out
Bears & Lions split season series and are 6-3, best records among non-divisional leaders

Among the most obvious WC challengers (Det, Dallas, Atl), the Bears have a better record than the last 2 and a tiebreak win over Atl. Detroit isn't playing well at all lately, has a much tougher remaining schedule than the Bears with 2 games vs. GB and an away game in N.O., so I see them losing one more game than we do (or SHOULD). Atlanta has a fairly soft schedule left but they are a game + a tiebreak behind the Bears.

The Bears have 4 straight games vs mediocre-to-crappy AFCWest teams with the "best" of those four at home, then Seattle at home, then GB & Minny away. There is no reason whatsover to not close out 5-2 MINIMUM. I don't see any other WC contender making it to 11-12 wins.

Of course, if we play like shit again (weeks 2-5) then all this means nothing. But the Bears basically have their post-season fate in their own hands.

sorry about the multiple posts--computer fart

Originally Posted by MPBears68

sorry about the multiple posts--computer fart

You can always edit your post, and select "delete" to get rid of it

Originally Posted by Jimmors

You can always edit your post, and select "delete" to get rid of it

Did...thank you

Originally Posted by Blue Horse-shoe

The schedule looks promising but there's still a ways to go. If they make the playoffs hopefully the improvement will be enough to make them formidable ..... cuz they're not gonna be given 24pts off turnovers in playoff games like the Lions just did.

True. But they can win in other ways. They are 6-3, their only losses coming from 2 division leaders (including the undefeated Packers), and the Lions, who we paid back in full.