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Greg Gabriel Explains the Disparities in 40 Times..................
The Last Word on 40 Times
Are the numbers misleading? Greg Gabriel
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Print This March 23, 2012, 04:00 PM EST
A few days ago at the Baylor Pro Day, it was said on the NFL Network that receiver Kendall Wright dramatically improved his 40 time from the 4.61 he ran at the Combine by clocking 4.44 and 4.46. The only problem I see with that is did Wright really run a 4.61 at the Combine?
I talked to some scouts I know and I was told that Wright’s hand held times at Indy were 4.49 and 4.51 on his first 40 and 4.62, 4.60 on the second 40. If you average them out he was a 4.55 or 4.56. His electronic times were 4.61 and 4.64. Which times are the right times and how do you figure what his time really is?
ICONHow high will Baylor WR Kendall Wright go in the draft?
When I was a Director of College Scouting for the Bears, I never used the electronic times because of two reasons. First, the electronic time is not a true electronic time. At the Combine, the electronic time is hand started, so if the timer is off on the start then the whole time is off. Secondly, when you send coaches and scouts out to the Pro Days, the 40’s are all hand timed. If you want to compare apples to apples you have to use the hand times otherwise there is no sense in timing at the Pro Days. I don’t want to hear an analyst use a player’s electronic time at the Combine and compare it to his hand held time at his Pro Day. It’s a useless comparison!
This year, I had an opportunity to work with some players as they prepared for the Combine. When they were practicing 40’s, they were using “true” electronic times. How is a time true versus not true? In this case, the players had to put their hand or thumb on a starting pad, once they lifted their hand, the timer started and when they crossed the “beams” at the 20 and 40 the clock stopped. This is far more accurate than having a timer hand start an electronic time. Still even using a more accurate process doesn’t change the fact that on Pro Days all the times are hand timed. For comparison reasons, all times have to be done the same manner otherwise you don’t have consistency when comparing one player to the next.
Every year we hear of players who have run their 40’s in under 4.3 or in the mid 4.3’s. These are all hand held times. Reality is hand times are not completely accurate. Over the years I have had the opportunity to talk to many track coaches about the timing process and they all have told me that no football player can really run in the 4.2’s or 4.3’s. The top sprinters in the world can’t run that fast when they are timed with a true electronic process. They might be in the 4.4’s or even in the low 4.5’s.
The important thing is when players are timed the same way, which ones run faster? Is there a margin of error? Of course there is. If a scout has a question on a player's speed, go back to the tape. The tape doesn’t lie. When I was in Chicago, our scouting reports had a little box where the scout filled in “play speed.” Even though it was an estimate and wasn’t accurate it’s important. How much faster or slower does a prospect look on the field when compared to the rest of the players?
When Jerry Rice was in the draft back in 1985, the Dallas Cowboys sent scouts down to Starkville, Mississippi (that’s where Rice was from and where he worked out) on numerous occasions to get a good time on Rice. They never timed him faster than 4.6. I was with the Giants at that time and Jerry Angelo was also sent to time Rice. Jerry got him in 4.57 and 4.59. Obviously Rice was not a burner but put on the tape in Rice’s first 10 years in the league and tell me how many times he was caught from behind. I can’t think of any! When it came to play speed he was a “burner.” He might have only been a 4.6 but he was so strong that he could also run 4.6 with his pads on and no one caught him.
Yes, times are important and they do have a direct relation to where a player gets drafted but play speed is also important and should always be used in the equation.
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This is one of the most interesting articles I've seen come from Greg Gabriel and it lifts the lid on why there are often huge differences between Combine results and Pro Day results and it nails the reason why no one believed Kendall Wright was a slow as those times indicated. Even then scouts were saying he plays much faster, just watch his tapes.
There was so much good info here, so much that explained what's important and what's not that it was hard to decide what to highlight. I should have highlighted the whole piece. To me the most important point that he made was the necessity to use the same standard when timing guys. It makes far less difference just how accurate the actual time is. It's the time relative to others that you want to know.
The other factor is something I think we all realize. There's track speed and there's playing speed. That story about Jerry Rice has been told many times over the years and he's right. Rice was one of those rare athletes whose game speed was no slower than his track speed and a lot of that comes from a players strength and how much differently he runs in pads than in his shorts.
There's an old Bears story you guys might appreciate. Back in the 50's when Abe Gibron was a vet OG with the Bears and one of Halas's favorites he used to have rookies race him in pads and Halas would tell the rookies they had to beat Gibron if they expected to take his job away from him. Of course for a few years no one could. I found that hard to believe until he became the Bears HC I saw films of him chasing up and down the sidelines yelling at the ref or Bobby Douglass. Abe might have been fat but he was real light on his feet when he had to be, LOL.
I'm getting to that age where a lifetime warranty just doesn't mean as much to me anymore as an afternoon nap.
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Olympic Sprinter Justin Gatlin took a shot at an NFL career with Tampa Bay a couple of years back, after his temporary ban from the world class circuit. The 40 times he turned in at the tryout were all in the 4.4's, not in pads & hand-held.
After seeing Justin's comeback this last summer (seeing that he's now been clean & is likely to make this summers 4x1 Olympic squad), he definitely still has legit elite world-class speed.
As a matter of fact, Justin is generally strong out of the blocks for a larger sprinter and runs the corners well; many times they place him on the lead-off leg on the 4x1.
Just some food for thought. From someone who ran a 4.48 40 in highschool & 4.25-4.30 in my college years. I can vouch that the 40-yard dash can be perfected with just Some talent & hard work.
I'm now 27 & raising kids, every once in a while at night, while walking our pit-bull Nellie accross a parking lot; I challenge her over this distance.
Last October, after not sprinting for several years, I measured out 40 yards in front of my house down the street with chalk & ran it (This is what a mid-life crisis looks like in the middle of the street for all the neighbors to see).
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ummmm ok, so the clock is controlled by a hand timer. I ve got an idea, how about they use a drag strip light and beam, once you cross the beam the time goes and its all done by a computer, wow mission accomplished. Seriously the NFL revenue is over 50 billion a year and they still cant figure a way out to track 40 times in 2012? jesus christ what a face palm haha
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We all know that the combine and pro day 40's are a joke and have no relationship to actual playing speed. I say put them all in full pads and then time the 40. That would be MUCH closer to game speed. JMHO though.
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Originally Posted by
VJ18
ummmm ok, so the clock is controlled by a hand timer. I ve got an idea, how about they use a drag strip light and beam, once you cross the beam the time goes and its all done by a computer, wow mission accomplished. Seriously the NFL revenue is over 50 billion a year and they still cant figure a way out to track 40 times in 2012? jesus christ what a face palm haha
obviously you didnt read the article, because they mentioned that.
And yes soul, a very interesting read, especially the part on jerry rice
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