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Thread: Good Defensive Line Crop This Year................

  1. #11
    Yankee Doodle Dandy Dagan81's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    So Dags, if Mercilus isn't on the board and it comes down to Coples and Jones who do you take?

    I think you may have misread me about Jones. As a top pass rusher he may still be a WIP, or not. According to Gabriel he may actually be more advanced in his moves and his ability to bull rush than Mercilus and more prepared to play LDE and hold up against the run. College stats don't tell us all but at least they're comparative so long as players play against relatively equal levels of competition.

    Mercilus stayed healthy and had 16.5 sacks in 12 games. Jones had 4.5 in 7 games after coming back from a knee injury. If he had been healthy for all 12 games his sack totals may have been 8-10 or more. The other factor to consider is his size. Mercilus struggles to keep 260lbs on him and he's about 6'3". Jones goes over 6'5" and Gabriel feels he can play above his current 266bs. Maybe as high as 280lbs which would put him in the range of guys like Coples and Pep.

    Mercilus will never be 6'5" plus and it's pretty doubtful his frame could carry much more than 260-265lbs if he can even keep that much on. Jones = Coples with a little less college productivity but a better motor and a bit less size.

    I'm just tossin' Jones name in the hat as a possibility. Seems to me we're likely to take on of the three on Thursday based on what we know now about the Bears needs and how the picks prior to them are shaping up. It's not a Mercilus vs Jones vs Coples debate. It's more of a Mercilus + Jones + Coples means we can get a very good DE with our first pick if that's the direction we go. I'll leave the actual pick up to Emery.

    First, I'll answer the one about who would I take. I would probably take Coples over Jones strictly because he's bigger and he doesn't come with lingering injury issues that might send up red flags to Emery. I'm not saying that Jones wouldn't be good, but I think for the sake of argument, the most polished DE in the draft, for sure, is Coples, motor issues be damned. I think that our nutritionists and training staff can keep Mercilus at or above 260 lbs, for what it's worth.

    Secondly, do you seriously consider taking Chandler Jones in the first round when we all know that the Bears are trying to get away from drafting a lot of players with known injury issues? I don't know the extent of Jones' injury, but I can about bet you that it will catch Emery's attention right away, and that might be the determining factor between drafting him or Mercilus, or golly, even Coples if he's still available at #19.

  • #12
    Mello Jello soulman's Avatar
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    Fair enough and I believe from what little I know I'd probably take Coples too just on the basis of that ability to dominate. Jones is a good ballplayer but I don't believe he's as dominant as Coples..........yet. Better motor though.

    As far as the injury thing goes I answered that in another thread. There's a difference between an injury which heals and a player goes on and a medical issue that may not go away. So which is it with Jones. If it's just an injury you should be fine with that. You defended the Carmi pick on that basis and you can't reverse course here if that's you're real concern.

    I think I've reached the point where I see 4 guys who could come in and play for us in 2012 and Jones is just one of the four. Damn but Thursdays gonna be interesting especially if we get an "offer we can't refuse" for Forte.
    Last edited by soulman; 04-24-2012 at 09:33 PM.
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  • #13
    Yankee Doodle Dandy Dagan81's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    Fair enough and I believe from what little I know I'd probably take Coples too just on the basis of that ability to dominate. Jones is a good ballplayer but I don't believe he's as dominant as Coples..........yet. Better motor though.

    As far as the injury thing goes I answered that in another thread. There's a difference between an injury which heals and a player goes on and a medical issue that may not go away. So which is it with Jones. If it's just an injury you should be fine with that. You defended the Carmi pick on that basis and you can't reverse course here if that's you're real concern.

    I think I've reached the point where I see 4 guys who could come in and play for us in 2012 and Jones is just one of the four. Damn but Thursdays gonna be interesting especially if we get an "offer we can't refuse" for Forte.
    What was the nature of Jones' injury? I've only begun hearing about him in the past couple of weeks from Windy. I would definitely agree with you based on the circumstantial injury bit, but I'm sort of riding the fence right now. Do we really know that based on what we read in the other thread that I think you posted whether or not Jones' injury was circumstantial to warrant Emery's watchful eye? I'm curious to know. Right now, Wikipedia isn't telling me anything about the nature of his injury, so I don't really know what to think at this point.

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    Knee sprain I believe. Bad enough to keep him out but no surgery that I know of.
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    Yankee Doodle Dandy Dagan81's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    Knee sprain I believe. Bad enough to keep him out but no surgery that I know of.
    Well hell fire! If it was a MCL sprain (assuming that's what it was), he will good to go for the draft. By the way, one of the NFL.com contributors has the Bears taking Jones at #19. I find that interesting that they would choose Jones over Mercilus knowing what they know Mercilus is capable of but not being quite so sure about Jones. The thing that intrigues me the most about Mercilus is the nine forced takeaways he had at Illinois last year. I don't know if he's is comparable to John Randle during Randle's time as a DE, but height wise, he's taller, and he's not as heavy.

  • #16
    Mello Jello soulman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dagan81 View Post
    Well hell fire! If it was a MCL sprain (assuming that's what it was), he will good to go for the draft. By the way, one of the NFL.com contributors has the Bears taking Jones at #19. I find that interesting that they would choose Jones over Mercilus knowing what they know Mercilus is capable of but not being quite so sure about Jones. The thing that intrigues me the most about Mercilus is the nine forced takeaways he had at Illinois last year. I don't know if he's is comparable to John Randle during Randle's time as a DE, but height wise, he's taller, and he's not as heavy.
    Randle played DT. He was 6'1" and about 280. The guy who plays like Randle is Melton. Those two would be comparable but not Mercilus.

    College isn't the NFL Dags. I expect Mercilus to do very well but to believe he'd come in and dominate at this level like he did in college is hoping for a lot. He'll be lining up across from 32 of the best LT's or RT's he's ever
    faced. The real question for the Bears is this. Assuming they even have Jones ranked on par with Mercilus do they want a guy who would probably be limited to RDE or a situational rusher at LDE or a guy who may not be as natural a rusher but can play LDE right out or the gate and still do some damage?

    Mercilus has more upside as a pass rusher whereas Jones may have more upside as an all around DE. He may never play RDE like Mercilus will but as long as Pep is around nobody is gonna take hi job away from him. Izzy ia another story. Pep is under contract through 2015 but Izzy has just this year. Who do you replace first?

    I'm not saying it will be Jones or that the Bears have him rated anywhere near where they do others I'm just following a line of logic which says IF they do then either Coples or Jones allows them to do that sooner than they could probably do with Mercilus.

    Edit: I could go the other way to and say that Trace Armstrong was a great DE pass rusher for the Bears and the Phins and he played LDE at 6'4" 260lbs his whole career and he could play the run too. So size isn't the only factor. Mercilus has freaky abilities.
    Last edited by soulman; 04-25-2012 at 11:58 AM.
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  • #17
    Mello Jello soulman's Avatar
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    More poop on the pass rushers.






    Whitney Mercilius compares favorably to J.J. Watt, according to STATS

    By Sean Jensen on April 24, 2012 9:27 PM | 6 Comments | No TrackBacks



    There are a lot of questions about Illinois defensive end Whitney Mercilus, who led the nation with 16 sacks.
    Is he better suited for the 4-3 or 3-4? Is he a one-year wonder?


    But, according to STATS LLC, Mercilus had a remarkable season that topped J.J. Watt, the defensive end for the Houston Texans who was selected 11th overall last year. While Watt had just 5 1/2 sacks during the regular season, he intercepted a pass against the Cincinnati Bengals in the Texans' first playoff game and returned it for a touchdown in a 17-10 win. Then, against the Baltimore Ravens, Watt had 2 1/2 sacks.

    Watt had 16 1/2 hurries in 2010, at Wisconsin -- twice as many as Mercilus last season -- but he had five fewer knockdowns (19 1/2 to 14 1/2).


    Mercilus had 27 1/2 knockdowns in 2011, two more than Melvin Ingram of South Carolina, according to STATS.


    Of the draftable pass rushers, here's how they stack up in knockdowns (national ranking in parentheses):
    1) Whitney Mercilus -- 27 1/2 (6th)
    2) Melvin Ingram -- 25 1/2 (8th)
    3) Nick Perry -- 21 (20th)
    4) Courtney Upshaw -- 19 1/2 (30th)
    5) Quinton Coples -- 19 (32nd)
    6) Bruce Irvin -- 17 1/2 (40th)
    7) Shea McClellin -- 17 (46th)
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