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Thread: Is Matt Forte Getting Bad Advice?.....................

  1. #11
    Mello Jello soulman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Riczaj01 View Post
    Henry, Benson was roughed up for his holding out, not b/c he didn't stick around for autographs. It's also(not even sure if it's only a rumor) that TJ had divided the locker against him before he even showed up.

    But ya Benson was a tool...but looking at it now, can you really blame him? RB's get used up in their rookie deal then struggle to get a legit ext or long term top end deal. Hard to say he didn't do the right thing by holding out and getting what he could.

    Forte has proven he can be a top and very productive back, and like you said his teammates have no issue w/what is going on so he's in a much better position to hold out then Benson was.
    How so? In a game where even the best RB's have a productive life span of 7-8 years Forte is already half way there. Yes, he's been productive but how much longer will that be the case? That's the question the Bears and every other team who has an interest in him will be asking themselves. How much more does Matt Forte have to give and what's that worth to us?

    Rookies aren't proven commodities but if they turn out to be good backs, as Forte did, then their clock is at one o'clock not half past nine and counting down to midnight. These days rookies also cost you far less so it's a bit easier to gamble that one will be productive and if not cut your losses and find another. Arian Foster was an UDFA so sometimes you don't even need to spend a first round pick to find them.

    Can we blame Benson for his hold out. Hell yes we can. Top draft picks then and now are slotted as far as their rookie deals are concerned. The top pick gets A, the second pick B, the third pick gets C and so on. Benson's offer was slotted but because it wasn't a very strong draft the amounts were not as high as agents expected. He was offered what he should have been offered based on those picked around him. He just thought he should be worth more. Kinda like what we're dealing with now.
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    Member XaosGorilla's Avatar
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    .. http://www.csnchicago.com/06/13/12/C...8&feedID=10330..This is the interview referenced in the initial post. At around 2:45 Haugh "stakes his claim" by at around 4:40 he states "I dont know what the bears have offered. They've kept a tight lid on this." The contract value is 100% hypothetical. He is only using this number to point out this opinion that he thinks that Forte has taken contract talks personally, and to reenforce his belief that the Bears have been fair, and that it's Forte that is being unreasonable. I think we have hashed out all the opinions already.
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    Banned BigBadPapaBear's Avatar
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    Yes he's getting very bad advice. Forte has already tipped his hand. He said he will be there when the season starts so what do you accomplish by holding out? Nothing. Why would the Bears increase the offer at this point? What the Bears should do is pull their contract offer and table the talks until next year.

    If I were them, I would also go public with what Forte has been offered. Let Forte's feet do the talking this season. He has a bad season, then the Bears look like geniuses for not moving off their offer. Forte then looks foolish for not taking the offer. If Forte goes bananas and puts up some crazy numbers this year, then the Bears are in an even better position negotiating with a 27yr old RB next year.

    Forte has effectively lost this battle. Missing training camp and not preparing with the Bears for this season, is not going to endear himself to the fans.

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    Mello Jello soulman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by XaosGorilla View Post
    .. http://www.csnchicago.com/06/13/12/C...8&feedID=10330..This is the interview referenced in the initial post. At around 2:45 Haugh "stakes his claim" by at around 4:40 he states "I dont know what the bears have offered. They've kept a tight lid on this." The contract value is 100% hypothetical. He is only using this number to point out this opinion that he thinks that Forte has taken contract talks personally, and to reenforce his belief that the Bears have been fair, and that it's Forte that is being unreasonable. I think we have hashed out all the opinions already.
    Thanks Xaos. I didn't have that link. I didn't think he actually knew that for a fact. Besides Haugh has been very pro-Bears about this all along. But I will stick with my point that this is the first time the Bears have ever had an extended contract dispute with a vet other than the one with Briggs and he eventually learned that he wasn't worth quite what he thought he was.

    Matt's kind of flip flopped between taking this personal and shrugging it off like it was just business all along but for the most part I think his emotions are controlling his common sense which says he is taking it personal. Very personal.
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    Mello Jello soulman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigBadPapaBear View Post
    Yes he's getting very bad advice. Forte has already tipped his hand. He said he will be there when the season starts so what do you accomplish by holding out? Nothing. Why would the Bears increase the offer at this point? What the Bears should do is pull their contract offer and table the talks until next year.

    If I were them, I would also go public with what Forte has been offered. Let Forte's feet do the talking this season. He has a bad season, then the Bears look like geniuses for not moving off their offer. Forte then looks foolish for not taking the offer. If Forte goes bananas and puts up some crazy numbers this year, then the Bears are in an even better position negotiating with a 27yr old RB next year.

    Forte has effectively lost this battle. Missing training camp and not preparing with the Bears for this season, is not going to endear himself to the fans.

    That's the other part of the battle he's now beginning to lose. Someone should tap him on the shoulder and tell him just how quickly Bears fans turned on Lance Briggs when he had his contract dispute. Things went from "pay the man" to trade his ass pretty quickly once the fans knew he was looking for a $60 mil deal.

    Of course all was forgiven when the prodigal son returned but it took all of a day for fans to get their backs up again real quick when he complained again last fall. Maybe 20 or 30 years ago the Bears could have been accused of being cheapskates when it came to paying their stars but that hasn't been the case on over a decade. The fairness of their offer can only be judged by what they can afford to pay not by what others are getting. Those are comparisons and they don't establish his "market value".
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    Banned BigBadPapaBear's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    That's the other part of the battle he's now beginning to lose. Someone should tap him on the shoulder and tell him just how quickly Bears fans turned on Lance Briggs when he had his contract dispute. Things went from "pay the man" to trade his ass pretty quickly once the fans knew he was looking for a $60 mil deal.

    Of course all was forgiven when the prodigal son returned but it took all of a day for fans to get their backs up again real quick when he complained again last fall. Maybe 20 or 30 years ago the Bears could have been accused of being cheapskates when it came to paying their stars but that hasn't been the case on over a decade. The fairness of their offer can only be judged by what they can afford to pay not by what others are getting. Those are comparisons and they don't establish his "market value".
    If the Bears were a team coming off a 4 win season and hoping for 6 or 7 wins this season, then I don't think Bears fans would be too bothered by the whole situation. In fact, I bet most if not all would be in his corner. But there is just too much at stake in 2012. This team is a serious SB contender now. There just comes a point where you have to accept that you can't work things out for the year and just have to let it go as a player. You have a very generous 1yr almost $8 million deal waiting for you. Sign it and get ready for the season and get your leverage back by having a monster year.

    I'm going to be seriously pissed off if this joker misses training camp and looks like crap during the regular season. I don't care how many years you've been playing...you need your reps out there. You need to experience getting hit for a few weeks. You don't want to go into the season "cold" like that. And if you are Forte, the last thing you can afford is to have a lousy season at this point in your career.

    And I don't care if he's dragging elephants and 18 wheelers up a hill each day. You need to practice just like everyone else and you need to be out there getting familiar with the new offensive playbook. And not just by looking at the Xs and Os on paper.

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    Senior Member Riczaj01's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulman View Post
    Ric these are the major points on which you and I disagree. This says it all in a nut shell.

    So, really, what's Forte's leverage? None. Holdouts were and are typically used to amplify leverage. The problem is that he's no longer in a position to have that leverage amplified. "He's not the team's only offensive weapon anymore" - his case amounts to "You used to not be able to live without me." Too bad for Matt he can't retroactively hold out for the 2010 or 2011 seasons.

    This is where all leverage is lost. It makes no difference what has worked for others in the past. This isn't the past and this isn't any other situation. It's not formulaic. This is completely dependent on the circumstances surrounding this dispute and no other. Matt Forte has no leverage to use.

    If he stays out for the season he loses almost $8 mil and does nothing to add anything positive to his reputation. If he thinks it's worth that much to prove his point then more power too him. If that's what he chooses to do in all likelihood the Bears will wash there hands of him, let him go, and move on. There are other fish in the sea that aren't so hard to catch.

    The Bears are more than prepared to move on without him and if that's not abundantly clear to him yet then yes, he truly is getting bad advice from his agent. Bush and Bell are secured and while neither is the equal of Matt Forte the Bears can still win with those two at RB. The Bears will adapt to life without him and just redirect the offense a bit.

    What he and his agent can't seem to grasp is that his competition isn't Bush or Bell. It's the rookie back the Bears can draft to take his place that will make over four years what he wants for one. There's always a choke point in any negotiations and once you've reached that point it only makes sense to realize it and stop trying to push beyond it if you hope to come to an agreement. The plain fact of the matter is he needs the Bears more than the Bears need him.
    And we'll continue to disagree, Roddy White held out and got a big contract, he is/was not their only weapon. And if I really wanted to I'm sure I could come up w/more that have done it where they are not the only weapons.

    We aren't going into hypotheticals here, he's not sitting out the whole season and you and I, he and the Bears know it. But as TC gets closer the pressure will mount to make sure he is there; and nothing is saying he will be. And for all the "praise" that Bush and Bell have gotten, Cutler stated the teams goal is to get the ball into their playmakers hands, neither of them were mentioned, but Forte was. And if they do move on they will suffer. Everyone overvalued Barber and Roy Williams last year too; didn't work out so well, cost us the season when the games were put into their hands....FACT. Bush/Bell do not equate to playmakers to get the ball too. They don't have the explosion, hands, or playmaking ability that Forte has. You can theorize that they are prepared to move w/out him, but I don't think they are b/c otherwise he would not be a primary weapon they are counting on.

    And that Rookie back is cheaper but not guaranteed to be able to produce, just ask all the many busts the Bears have brought in between Neal and TJ. Hey while we're at it, let's just get rid of Marshal b/c we can get a cheaper guy in the draft...same w/Urlacher Briggs, Peppers, and just about every other player on the team. weak argument.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Riczaj01 View Post
    And we'll continue to disagree, Roddy White held out and got a big contract, he is/was not their only weapon. And if I really wanted to I'm sure I could come up w/more that have done it where they are not the only weapons. (He was in the last year of the deal he got in 2005 when he got an extension on 2009 6yrs/$48 mil/$8 mil avg. but only $18.6 guaranteed. He's also a WR which is a higher paid postition but that's far from being at the top of the heap)

    We aren't going into hypotheticals here, he's not sitting out the whole season and you and I, he and the Bears know it. But as TC gets closer the pressure will mount to make sure he is there; and nothing is saying he will be. And for all the "praise" that Bush and Bell have gotten, Cutler stated the teams goal is to get the ball into their playmakers hands, neither of them were mentioned, but Forte was. (No, that's wrong. Both Cutler and the coaching staff have been very complimentary of Bush and commented that he as a better receiver than they had originally thought)

    And if they do move on they will suffer. Everyone overvalued Barber and Roy Williams last year too; didn't work out so well, cost us the season when the games were put into their hands....FACT. Bush/Bell do not equate to playmakers to get the ball too. They don't have the explosion, hands, or playmaking ability that Forte has. You can theorize that they are prepared to move w/out him, but I don't think they are b/c otherwise he would not be a primary weapon they are counting on. (No one that I know of around here overvalued RWill. We were all opposed to him. MB III came in and did exactly what was expected of him. Bush is younger, bigger and more talented and even more is expected of him. Kahil Bell performed extremely well in his four starts. Neither one is the equivalent of Forte. I already said that. But together they make an effective RB duo. And when are you gonna admit that Forte is not the primary weapon they are counting on any longer? That's exactly what this article is talking about. Matt Forte is no longer the first or only weapon the Bears have. He'll have to share that role with at least six other guys; Marshall, Bennett, Jeffery, Hester, Davis, and Bush. His role is diminishing and if they have to the Bears will learn to live without him and adapt. A year ago no, but now, absolutely.

    And that Rookie back is cheaper but not guaranteed to be able to produce, just ask all the many busts the Bears have brought in between Neal and TJ. Hey while we're at it, let's just get rid of Marshal b/c we can get a cheaper guy in the draft...same w/Urlacher Briggs, Peppers, and just about every other player on the team. weak argument.
    It's not a weak argument when you consider that all of those players are more important to the success of team and also more irreplaceable than Forte. We have no vet backups for any of those guys who play at their level. There's also the fact that two of those guys are team captains and leaders of the defense and that the careers of LB's, DE's, and WR's is on average much longer than that of RB's.

    The potential productive length of Matt Forte's career as well as that of any other RB has been discussed here and in virtually every article written about this at length. The Bears have personally expressed their misgivings about it as one of the reasons why they are in a disagreement with Forte's demands. And every other contract signed in the last year by every other RB isn't guaranteed past the third year of the deal. That should also tell how the rest of the league feels about the longevity of these other backs.

    These are facts Ric and I can't see how they could be debated. Whether or not Bush and Bell can be as productive or whether or not we can draft a rookie to take Forte's place are opinions and we can debate that but not the rest of it. Everything that I've highlighted is a fact.

    The bottom line as David Haugh and that article point out is that Matt Forte is not as key an element in the Bears offensive plans now as he was a year or two ago. If he's held out then he probably did have some leverage yet knowing the Bears they wouldn't have given in but they may have restructed his contract with an extension. But now he has no leverage. Just about everyone but you agrees with that.

    He is an important part of the Bears offense but he is no longer THE most important part. Other weapons have been purchased and those weapons will supplement what he does and if he's not there to do them then Bush and Bell will be. The Bears covered their bases early on this. When Forte refused the last offer that was made they signed Bush and made Bell a tender offer. Before the draft even took place those two were committed or Emery probably would have drafted a RB.

    It's OK if you don't think the Bears offense will do as well or can win without Matt Forte. That's not important. What's important is that the Bears believe they can win without him and I can guarantee you they're prepared to do it if he decides to hold out. I'm not sure how much more wiggle room they may have for a final last ditch effort but my guess is there isn't much more to give.

    It's all up to Matt Forte as far as what he wants to do. He says he wants a long term deal. The Bears have offered him one they feel is fair. He doesn't feel it's fair yet he refuses to sign his tender. Ric, he only has two choices if he plans on getting paid and one of them in not holding out. Therefore he has no leverage as far as a holdout is concerned. None.
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  • #20
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    how the hell do we know that forte is getting bad advice when we dont even know what was offered to him lol

    if forte was offered 20 mil guaranteed then yeah he is a damn fool passing the guaranteed money

    if forte was offered 15 mil guaranteed then he is taking the risk of going for the franchise offer but at least that is below his value so it makes more sense to reject

    the one thing missing in our back and forths about forte is none of us know jack on what the hell the offer was

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