I'm guessing on this year but if I remember where we left off with it the Bears had about $3.7 mil in cap excess left in 2012 and Forte's deal should add about another $4 mil so if those number are right we have just a little under $8 mil left to work with this year or we can roll over what ever we don't into 2013.
The only number I've heard about 2013 and 2014 came from something John Clayton worked up that said the Bears only have around $13 mil in excess for 2013 so far but close to $50 for 2014. Of course those figures are based on expiring deals and numbers that are now on the books and I have no idea how he projects that growth of the cap over the next two years.
I think it's safe to say that the Bears will find away to keep their key guys and those you mentioned fit that description mo. There are also some numbers out there based on incentives that won't be paid but those only come into play once you're in that cap year. Guys who have incentives that add to 2012 cap cost who don't earn them will see that money added back to 2013 cap excess.
They can also turn some of those high salary numbers into bonuses in spread the cap hits out so guys like Hester and Tillman will probably be asked to restructure and you pretty much know they will. Some guys like Spencer and Spaeth may well be replaced by cheaper players after 2012.
Jay is signed through 2013, Marshall 2014 and Pep 2015. My guess is that a lot of the money in Cutler's new deal will hit in 2016 after Pep retires and the big hits we're taking for him disappear. Marshall may well get extended but by 2016 I expect Urlacher and Briggs will be gone to.
So they key is to structure the deal so that we use the cap space most effciently and Cliff Stein seems to be pretty good at that if not the best in the league.