Originally Posted by
BearStuff
Well, I hear what you are saying, but there are far too many factors to make the stat meaningful. Who was injured when we played them, for either team? Was that teams that were 9-7 in the 16 games before we met or the season we met them in? Who was their competition for either span? What was the weather like in the games? Were they playing at night or day? How many games were in domes? Were there replacement refs officiating? Who were the coordinators for each phase? Were any of the wins/loses in overtime? Who did the teams played gain/lose in free agency or the draft?
In general, I'd argue that strength of schedule is a meaningless stat. Proof positive is a current year opponent - The Packers. They were 15-1 last year, or 14-2 in the 16 games leading up to this year, they are 2-3 this year, they have had significant turnover on the oline from last year, they have G.Jennings (probowl WR from last year) that has been injured most of the year, I think they drafted really well, Urlacher was still recovering, Peppers has been battling Plantar Fascitis. What do you make of a team like that from a "strength of schedule" standpoint? Is your arguement still valid if they suddenly start winning the majority of games? What about if they continue to slide a bit?
Bottom line, you play who is printed on your schedule, with the folks that are available to play. The only fair measurement is the score on the scoreboard at the end of the game. The rest is messageboard fodder that can't be measured for accuracy.