Given history, Smith might be best fit for Bears

What do you think?

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LINK to the article

Given history, Smith might be best fit for Bears

If they beat Packers, it's either extend his deal or totally rebuild under rookie coach

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The Bears may appear to be going nowhere, but that doesn't mean Lovie Smith is headed anywhere.

Smith effectively can seal another contract with a victory over the Packers on Sunday. Beating the Packers is important to Bears ownership, and Smith could end a five-game losing streak to the NFC North rivals while also ensuring a winning season and keeping the dream of a division title alive. Despite a recent Tribune poll in which 86 percent of the responders want Smith gone if the Bears miss the playoffs, they all should cheer for him Sunday.

Smith is miles away the most qualified person for the job he holds. Does anybody believe the Bears would get in a bidding war for Jon Gruden, rumored to be on the way back, or be interested in coaxing Bill Cowher out of retirement?

To complicate matters, the NFL is looking at an offseason in which eight to 10 head coaches likely will get the pink slip. Considering the glacial pace at which the Bears interview and hire, would any top candidates still be available when the team got around to filling a potential vacancy? There is always a surprise move or two in the offseason (Could Sean Payton wind up in Dallas?), so the list might be longer than expected.

Coaches on the hot seat include Norv Turner, Jason Garrett, Rex Ryan, Ken Whisenhunt, Romeo Crennel, Andy Reid, Ron Rivera, Pat Shurmur, Chan Gailey, Mike Mularkey, Dennis Allen and Mike Munchak. Smith would make it a baker's dozen.
If the Bears dump Smith, it's a virtual lock they would replace him with a first-time head coach. That is simply what they do. The last new Bears coach who did not make his NFL debut with the team was George Halas in 1958, starting his fourth go-round in the job.
In reverse order, Smith, Dick Jauron, Dave Wannstedt, Mike Ditka, Neil Armstong, Jack Pardee, Abe Gibron and Jim Dooley all made their NFL head coaching debuts with the Bears. Armstrong had head coaching experience with the Edmonton Eskimos of the CFL and Pardee with the Washington Ambassadors of the WFL.

Would hiring a new coach signal a complete overhaul, from scheme to talent? How long would such a rebuilding process take, and how many current Bears would be a part of it?

With Phil Emery wrapping up his first season as a general manager and his top lieutenants also in their first year in new jobs, is there a support system in place to enable a rookie coach to succeed? Would Smith's departure signal the exodus of 30-and-older defenders Brian Urlacher, Julius Peppers, Lance Briggs, Charles Tillman and Israel Idonije? How many times can they change offensive coordinators with Jay Cutler? Would the quarterback have to sign off on the new hire to sign a long-term contract?

Smith's fate rests with Emery, according to team insiders. But Emery isn't going to pop his head out of his office door one day and ask a secretary to have Smith report with his playbook. He would make the move only after consultation with President Ted Phillips and Chairman George McCaskey. The Bears are sticklers for organizational hierarchy and letting people do the jobs they are hired to do, but there's no doubt the McCaskey family — perhaps even matriarch Virginia McCaskey — would have to sign off on any move this big.

Ditto with any contract extension for Smith. He has one year remaining on his deal, which pays him more than $5 million per year. It's hard to imagine a scenario in which he would go into next season as a lame duck. His status would become a daily topic of conversation.

Forbes listed Smith as the seventh-highest-paid coach in professional sports, behind only Bill Belichick, Mike Shanahan, Jeff Fisher and Pete Carroll in the NFL, though the magazine based the results on a $6 million yearly salary that a Bears source labeled inaccurate. Nonetheless, Smith is making a lot of money. Would a two-year extension be enough to keep him, as it was the last time he got new paper through next season?

The Bears believe stability, consistency and a strong, single, visible leader are the keys to sustained success. Smith is the perfect boss for their dysfunctional family and precisely the leader they deserve.
Fans may be eager to run across the Dan Ryan just to get away from the guy, but it's a safer bet to stay with him.

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While we are on the subject..... again..... I think another reason to keep Lovie, is Marshall. Perhaps Lovie's calming nature is a good influence on Marshall, helping him stay out of trouble. I think (without researching) this might be the longest he has ever gone without getting into trouble.

He has stated he's not on drugs, but doing a special therapy. More to the point I think he saw his cash cow going the way of TO and Ocho if he didn't stop w/the antics. I'd also like to point out that he didn't do a lot of the crazy team stuff when Cutler was w/the Bronco's

Lovie has had a good, long tenure. Can't keep doing this dance forever. Time to move on.

The author asks how long it would take to rebuild the team. My answer is however many years less than whatever Lovies new contract would be. We aren't going anywhere with him. We will have to do some level of rebuilding (although honestly only a few areas need real addressing - we don't need a total rebuild). If we extend Lovie then the rebuilding will take as long as it would have anyway with the added years of Lovies new tenure tacked on.

You try to rebuild that bridge with the same cement that won't harden and instead of switching cement you order another of the same stuff, you still have to rebuild that bridge, but now you have to wait until the new batch of cement is gone again. Or if you are down to where you only have a little bit left in the bag, you might want to throw it out and buy the new stuff right away.

pay me now or pay me later... with interest

It seems like Lovie is rushing headlong into tarnishing his image. Does he just wish to hang on until the bitter end or do some coaches like this even have an exit strategy that would no. 1 make them classy and no.2 keep them viable for positions in the future?

Why would changing HC automatically mean a "multi-year rebuild"? I disagree with that premise entirely. This team isn't Jacksonville or KC or some other hopeless bottom feeder. It has tons of talent on the roster (on both sides of the ball) that has underperformed due to poor coaching and personnel management largely on the offensive side. This team is currently only a few key pieces player-wise from being a legit SB contender (mainly the OL) and just needs an offensively skilled HC/OC duo to make the pieces Emery hopefully will provide this offseason into a scoring machine. I utterly reject the notion that changing HC/OCs means the team can't be competitive again until "after a multi-year rebuild".

Unless a new HC wants to go to a 3-4 defense that is. We aren't suited for that since we don't have a pure NT like Raji or Wilfork or Ngata so I'm sure Emery & Co. could be cognizant of hiring a HC who runs a 4-3. It really isn't that hard. Furthermore, a very realistic candidate with inside Bears knowledge may already be on the payroll in Dave Toub. Don't laugh. And I'm not saying he should just be handed the job but he should be fairly vetted and duly considered. He's been a rising star among NFL coordinators for quite a while and he will be a HC somewhere soon, bet on it.

The idea that we have to keep Lovie just because Cowher and Gruden may not be interested or possible is false IMO.

we don't have to totally rebuild our team if Smith is fired.

All we need is some fresh blood and new ideas. A new personality. Ending an era with Smith and Urlacher at the same time may not be the worst idea