Of course it's a crap shoot. It's a crap shoot going with Cutler for the next 4-5 years too. The FT gives you another season to evaluate Jay AND whatever rookie you draft. I wish it weren't so, but Cutler hasn't played a full or near-full 16 games in about 4 seasons now and he's won one playoff game his entire career. Lets be realistic about what the upside is here...not much, .he is what he is.