Trestman explains why he didn't call any timeouts

Discussion in 'Chicago Bears' started by Henry Burris, Nov 19, 2013.

  1. Henry Burris

    Henry Burris Head Coach

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    Trestman discusses decision to not call timeouts late in game
    Monday, November 18, 2013 2:42 p.m. CST
    LAKE FOREST — When Ray Rice ran 11 yards for a first down to the Bears’ five-yard line in the final minute on Sunday, it seemed fair to wonder if Marc Trestman would call any timeouts.

    The Ravens were five yards away from a go-ahead touchdown, the Bears had all three timeouts left and could save some clock for Josh McCown. Or, if the Ravens got a field goal, they could have some time to try and win.

    I asked Trestman about the situation, and he explained his thought process, and how analytics and the Ravens’ playbook went into his decision to let the clock run down.

    “I think it’s a very fair question. But let me just give you a big picture. When you call timeouts at the end of halves, you want to call them in succession if you can. If you’re calling them just hit or miss, there’s really no value on that.

    “So just a little bit of history, when you start a drive from the 16-yard line, you have a 13 percent chance probably in the last five years to score a touchdown. And you have to take that into consideration when you go into the game. And then when a team’s driving, you need to know what they have and you need to know that you have.

    “They had two timeouts at the time, and we had three timeouts. Well, the normal thinking is you never want to leave a game with your three timeouts. You want to get them back, especially in those situations. But the fact of the matter is that there was really no time to use the timeouts. And when you’re in a two-minute situation and if you use your timeouts and there’s no way you can call them in succession, you give them more time on each and every play to get the people out there that they want to complete that, to get that play done. So you have to consider that.

    “Really, only the first time where I considered really calling a timeout was after Ray Rice had the 11-yard run down to the five-yard line. And he took that ball with, I think it was about 1:16 when he had that ball. That was the first time. I was down there with the official. That was the first time. But when you put it all together, the numbers all together, if you call three timeouts right there in succession, you’re still only getting the ball back at 18 seconds. OK? If you let it run, they’re in a two-minute mode and now they’ve got to call two timeouts.

    “A couple things come into play with them using their two timeouts. Number one, they didn’t call a timeout on the first one which means they had to call a play out of their two-minute package instead of using their red-zone package. So that’s number one. They didn’t call a timeout and get into different personnel groupings. They called a play. And then by using their two timeouts, we knew what they had to do on third down. They had to throw it, because there wasn’t enough time left to do anything else. So we cut the percentages in half of run to pass and then it was just one big leap of faith.

    “If we had called three timeouts in a row, we’ve got 19, 18 seconds left at the max. So, the percentage of them scoring … It’s a leap of faith. They went all the way down the field. Three points yes, tied the game. Seven points? We’re talking 13 percent. And then from an offensive standpoint as a play-caller, I know if you call timeout, you get what you want out there. If not, you’ve got a limited bag of plays you can use. So that’s the reasoning behind it. I would have loved to have been able to have a situation when they were running the ball and they started to get into that field goal area, where we could have plugged the timeouts, each one on top of each other. But that wasn’t the case.”



    I know a lot of you are going to say "that was still a stupid decision", and that's I'm happy for you, but Trestman played this VERY calmly and logically, reacting accordingly to how the Ravens were calling their plays, and it turned out, he made the right decision.
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  2. soulman

    soulman Pro-Bowler SuperFan DBS Writer

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    Henry, lets see if you and I are the only ones who listened to his presser today all the way to the end where he explained it. Smart move. He forced Baltimore to use theirs and then they had to stick with their two minute offense and weren't able to get into a goal line offense which may have saved the TD. Good thread!

    This game was won partly because he outcoached John Harbaugh and that's not easy to do. When was the last game we won in the Lovie era where we outcoached the other guys at crunch time. Usually it was just the opposite.
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  3. Loki

    Loki Assault Admin Staff Member

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    A Soul sighting! Call the press!!!
  4. a_miljan

    a_miljan Veteran

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    Soul is back the day after I revealed he is actually 54. Coincidence? I think not!
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  5. riczaj01

    riczaj01 DaBears Ditka DBS Writer

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    It's messed up but ya it was the right call. 13% chance of scoring a td from 16, and didn't allow them to substitute, which forced them to use their timeouts which meant they had none when it was time for their last shot at a TD.

    Could you imagine how that question would have been answered if Lovie or one of his OC's had tried to answer it? Ugh, instead we learn something from our HC, nice change of pace.
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  6. mdbearz

    mdbearz Veteran

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    I hate to say it, but Marc Trestman is smarter than I am.

    If the Ravens get into the "Heavy-Goalline package" There is no way in hell we stop them from scoring.

    Ok so far I have been impressed with T-man, but this is borderline football genius.

    Coach of the Year discussions if we can get into the playoffs?
  7. riczaj01

    riczaj01 DaBears Ditka DBS Writer

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    Coach the year might well goto Chico, but Testy should be talked about.
  8. mdbearz

    mdbearz Veteran

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    Do you think the no-flag last night tarnished the win?

    BTW- I know that Carolina winning last night could have hurt the Bears, but I could not help but root for them.
  9. billatter

    billatter Veteran

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    Nope, I like seeing the Patsies with their knickers all in a bunch.
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  10. WarLax

    WarLax Rookie

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    I much prefer this message board, but given the relative lack of activity I tend towards that other "big" Chicago MB *on gamedays*. The meatballs on there screaming about timeouts during/after the game were and still are ridiculous and as such, this thread makes me happy. Not that it will keep them from calling Trestman names and calling for his ouster, but it does show that he is just so much smarter than they are.

    Long live the Trest!
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  11. weneedmorelinemen

    weneedmorelinemen Veteran

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    If Lovie was the coach he would have called a timeout on top of a timeout giving us a penalty.
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  12. shark86x

    shark86x Pro-Bowler SuperFan

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    Lovie wouldn't havebeen able to call a timeout because he would have lost them all on bad red flags.
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  13. 4dabers

    4dabers Veteran DBS Writer

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    I'm just glad we have a head coach that understands clock management and understands preparing and strategy. If nothing else, this should give us all confidence that when he makes a "head shaker" decision, that there might just be more to his thought process than we (or the announcers) are aware of. I appreciate him sharing these thoughts with us fans; adds credibility to his actions.

    Didn't we hire a "stats man" in the off season? The answer is yes. Makes me think some of these decisions could have a direct tie to some percentage decisions Trestman is describing.
  14. MPbears68

    MPbears68 Pro-Bowler

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    Me too. The decision scared the hell outta me at the time but I'm so glad it worked as designed.
  15. DaTreeBears

    DaTreeBears Veteran

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    Trestman is the smartest coach Bears have or will ever have in my lifetime. He thinks more about ever piece of minutia in this game than people even knew possibly existed in football.
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  16. MPbears68

    MPbears68 Pro-Bowler

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    MT still has some tactical refinements to improve on ("getting the CFL out of his system" as our canadian friend billatter put it) but he's already a helluva better HC guru than Lovie ever could be. Can you imagine if Lovie and Tice were still running the show?
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  17. riczaj01

    riczaj01 DaBears Ditka DBS Writer

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    W/all the D losses, plus Cutler going down, they'd be lucky to be .500
  18. ticat

    ticat Veteran

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    I told you guys a while back this guy is special. :)
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  19. phatdude

    phatdude Rookie

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    I've always had faith in Trestman, but the game where he didn't start McCown and he didn't take the easy FG shook my trust in him. This post helps me "keep the faith". Definitely 1,000% better than Lovie.

    BUT so far it doesn't look like this same genius is put into the defense. I know, there are a lot of injuries, but in the beginning of the year the D was weak still. I hope something can be done with he D.
  20. MPbears68

    MPbears68 Pro-Bowler

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    Under the prior regime, with their "defense first, offensive-cluelessness" mentality and (lack of) ability, we would be 3-7 right now. Lot of football left to play.

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