Vegas has us and the Lions winning 8 games this year. Green Bay a top-5 team in the NFL.

Discussion in 'Chicago Bears' started by JustAnotherBearsFan99, May 19, 2014.

  1. rich1978

    rich1978 Veteran
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    sell phins at 8 too
     
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  2. rich1978

    rich1978 Veteran
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    nah opposite, they want equal money both sides of the bet so they have no risk, then when it comes in bang on their number, both sides lose and they cackle all the way to the bank.

    you can tell when they arent so sure as they offer the half point o/u. that way there is no 'house wins' whole integer for them to win on. what you see is what they think, sure the odds will change as they hedge themselves and if bears fans pile in it'll go up but the opening levels are the purest indication of their thoughts before the homer fans distort it and threaten their p&l

    if you want to buy a popular team, buy early in pre-season, if you want to sell a popular team, sell late is usually a good rule of thumb.
     
    #12 rich1978, May 20, 2014
    Last edited: May 20, 2014
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  3. JJ-30

    JJ-30 Veteran

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    Aren't the odds alway in favor of the house.
     
  4. Bearsinhouston

    Bearsinhouston Assistant Head Coach
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    They make the rules. Not very bright if they set them up so they themselves lose.
     
  5. soulman

    soulman Position Coach
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    Sound like an interesting merger but how they'll deal with the egos of both Belichick and Harbaugh is way beyond me.
     
  6. soulman

    soulman Position Coach
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    Rich has it spot on. The house wants to create a "middle" were the odds are set to balance out the betting so it equalizes as much as possible. The losers pay and the house takes a rake on the winners so as long as the house can balance their book they can't lose.

    I've got a good friend who bets college FB and BB like a guy who handicaps horses and he's pretty damn good at it. Doesn't know much about the NFL so he calls me for some poop if he wants to lay a bet. I don't gamble so I can live vicariously through his bets. LOL
     
  7. Henry Burris

    Henry Burris Head Coach

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    I'd buy hard on the Jags, if I had the money. Their division isn't all that great, AND they're not having to play the NFC & AFC West this year, as opposed to last year, when they still had 4.
     
  8. Bearsinhouston

    Bearsinhouston Assistant Head Coach
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    So here are the games that they are expected to win along with the margins for loss of their opponents.

    Chicago Bears (8): Buffalo (-6.5), Green Bay (-1.5), Miami (-6), Minnesota (-7), Tampa Bay (-6), Dallas (-4.5), New Orleans (-3), Detroit (-4).

    So the Bears are being picked to split with all three teams in the division.
    Those are three losses right there. I don't see us splitting with the Vikings, so there is one more win right there. And they show the Bears winning against NO. Not a team I would have picked to lose to the Bears. Where do they get this stuff?
     
  9. JustAnotherBearsFan99

    JustAnotherBearsFan99 Assistant Head Coach
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    This prediction was from Fox Sports. Fox used the same guy who does their hard-hitting political news analysis and commentary, 'Beetlejuice Wally' & his amazing feline friend, 'Tinkerbell the Wonder Cat'

    [​IMG]
     
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  10. soulman

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    It's all just preliminary fluff right now. There are so many factors that could affect these games between now and then that these spreads are pretty meaningless for much else other than entertainment.

    What happens to these results if the Bears lose Cutler or the Packers lose Rodgers or Stafford or Brees in Detroit and NOLA. What happens if Teddy Bridgewater plays like the OROY and he and AP boost that offense up the way the Bears came alive last year?

    Shoot we haven't even gotten through the OTAs yet let alone camps and preseason so even predicting wins and losses is just a wild guess let alone predicting spreads. If the Bears don't do any better than 8-8 again there are gonna be some hard questions asked about why. We also need to win the division which to me mean no less than 4-2 against the NFCN and preferably 5-1. I'll give the Pack one game but not Minny or Detoilet.

    If this team can't go at least 10-6 I'm gonna be very disappointed. There are pundits out there calling them ready to challenge for a SB berth and yet Vegas see 8-8? Somebody is way off base.
     

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